This is unprecedented: Short positions in Brent crude oil futures by producers, merchants, processors, and commercial users are up to a record $193 billion. These are the companies that physically produce, refine, trade, and consume oil, from major producers and refineries to...
Investors welcomed efforts to end a war that has driven up energy prices. Brent ended 11% lower, and the S&P 500 posted its biggest one-day gain since early February.
Pharmaceutical company Roche announced it is launching a new large-scale 'AI factory' with thousands of the latest Nvidia chips to accelerate the development of new drugs and diagnostics, per Forbes
The Magnificent 7 stocks are decoupling from the rest of the market: The 100-day correlation between the Magnificent 7 Index and the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index is down to -0.27, the most negative reading since June 2023. This means Big Tech and the average stock in the market...
President Trump postponed threatened strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure, pending what he said were discussions with Iran to end the war. Iran denied talks had happened.
$580M oil futures (6,200 Brent/WTI contracts) bought 6:49–6:50 AM ET, 15 min before Trump Iran post; separate: $1.5B S&P500 futures bought + $192M oil sold in single clips 5 min before announcement
I've traded futures markets for five decades. There is ZERO doubt in my mind that Trump money was behind this buying. There is NOOOOO law that prevents the Trump machine from manipulating futures markets. Inside trading is legal. Trump family fortune grew today. Trump is playing
Circle: 72% stablecoin transaction volume vs Tether 28%; OCC trust bank charter (50-state banking privileges); stock +100% in 1 month; Bernstein target raised to $191
circle doing 72% of stablecoin transaction volume vs tether's 28%. OCC trust bank charter gives 50-state banking privileges tether can't replicate from el salvador. stock up 100% in a month, bernstein raised target to $191. the stablecoin war isn't about supply dominance anymore,
[QT @WSJ: Exclusive: A pair of senators are introducing a law that would prohibit CFTC-regulated entities like Kalshi and Polymarket from listing contracts related to sporting events]
BREAKING: Apollo has capped redemptions from one of its largest private credit funds after today's withdrawal requests exceeded 11% of outstanding shares. Cracks in the private credit market seem to be spreading.
A private credit fund jointly run by Future Standard and KKR lost one of its investment-grade ratings, a rare occurrence in the $1.8 trillion private credit market that could result in higher borrowing costs for the investment vehicle
Wall Street's main stock indexes closed up more than 1% as oil prices fell after President Trump said he had ordered the military to postpone strikes against Iranian power plants.
US+Israel strikes; Isfahan gas company + pressure reduction station hit; Khorramshahr gas pipeline targeted; Trump postponed power plant strikes 5 days; Operation Epic Fury
特朗普发布伊朗潜在和平协议帖子前15分钟,交易员在6:49-6:50 AM ET的一分钟内交易了6200份原油期货合约(价值5.8亿美元);另有消息称特朗普另一则推动标普500涨3.8%的帖子发出前5分钟内,4500份ES合约(名义价值15亿美元)被单笔买入。
$580M oil futures 15min before Trump Iran post; 6,200 Brent+WTI contracts in 1 min at 6:49-6:50 AM ET; $1.5B ES futures 5min before S&P +3.8%; 4,500 ES contracts single clip
I've traded futures markets for five decades. There is ZERO doubt in my mind that Trump money was behind this buying. There is NOOOOO law that prevents the Trump machine from manipulating futures markets. Inside trading is legal. Trump family fortune grew today. Trump is playing
Trump hinted war ending soon; multiple nations mediating per CNN 5 sources; White House eyes Iran parliament speaker as US-backed leader; Kurtzer: 'no quick ending'
A regional jet collided with a fire truck at New York City's LaGuardia Airport around 11:40 p.m. Sunday evening. The fire truck had been responding to a separate incident and was crossing the runway as the Air Canada Regional Express jet Flight 8646 was landing. The entire front
circle doing 72% of stablecoin transaction volume vs tether's 28%. OCC trust bank charter gives 50-state banking privileges tether can't replicate from el salvador. stock up 100% in a month, bernstein raised target to $191. the stablecoin war isn't about supply dominance anymore,
BREAKING: Japan's 10Y Government Bond Yield has surged to 2.30%, near the highest since 1999. This exceeds the 2008 Financial Crisis peak by 30 basis points. Furthermore, the 5Y yield jumped to 1.72%, just a few basis points away from its all-time high. This comes as rising
Japan's key inflation gauge slowed more than expected to its weakest pace in nearly four years as utility subsidies cooled energy costs, with the recent surge in oil prices likely to fuel a resurgence in coming months
OPENAI CALLS OUT MICROSOFT RELIANCE AS RISK IN INVESTOR DOCUMENT AHEAD OF EXPECTED IPO. In a document that resembles an IPO prospectus, OpenAI said its close ties with Microsoft $MSFT could be a potential risk to its business, telling investors that the software company is
$580M oil trades (6,200 Brent+WTI futures contracts) at 6:49-6:50 AM ET; $1.5B notional S&P 500 ES futures in single clip ~5 min pre-announcement; S&P 500 +3.8% post-tweet
I've traded futures markets for five decades. There is ZERO doubt in my mind that Trump money was behind this buying. There is NOOOOO law that prevents the Trump machine from manipulating futures markets. Inside trading is legal. Trump family fortune grew today. Trump is playing
Trump orders postponement of strikes on Iranian power plants; US major stock indexes +>1%; oil prices fell; Japan stocks rebounded; Iran denied peace talk claims
Wall Street's main stock indexes closed up more than 1% as oil prices fell after President Trump said he had ordered the military to postpone strikes against Iranian power plants.
Strikes on gas infrastructure in Isfahan (gas company offices + pressure reduction station) and Khorramshahr (gas pipeline to power station); source: Fars News Agency
Saudi Arabia and UAE: steps toward joining Iran War; source: Wall Street Journal; UAE oil CEO: Iran Strait of Hormuz attacks are 'economic terrorism against every nation'
GEN. MATTIS: '.. Iran right now, if we declared victory, they would now say they own the strait. .. You'd see a tax for every ship that goes through. .. We're in a tough spot, ladies and gentlemen. .. I can't identify a lot of options.'
BREAKING: Japan's 10Y Government Bond Yield has surged to 2.30%, near the highest since 1999. This exceeds the 2008 Financial Crisis peak by 30 basis points. Furthermore, the 5Y yield jumped to 1.72%, just a few basis points away from its all-time high. This comes as rising
OPENAI CALLS OUT MICROSOFT RELIANCE AS RISK IN INVESTOR DOCUMENT AHEAD OF EXPECTED IPO In a document that resembles an IPO prospectus, OpenAI said its close ties with Microsoft $MSFT could be a potential risk to its business, telling investors that the software company is
Isfahan: gas company offices & pressure reduction station damaged; Khorramshahr: gas pipeline supplying power station hit; Israel plans to intensify strikes to maximize gains before war ends
GEN. MATTIS: ".. Iran right now, if we declared victory, they would now say they own the strait. .. You'd see a tax for every ship that goes through. .. We're in a tough spot, ladies and gentlemen. .. I can't identify a lot of options."
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have taken some steps toward joining the Iran War, the Wall Street Journal reported — potentially signaling an escalation of the fighting.
BREAKING: Japan's 10Y Government Bond Yield has surged to 2.30%, near the highest since 1999. This exceeds the 2008 Financial Crisis peak by 30 basis points. Furthermore, the 5Y yield jumped to 1.72%, just a few basis points away from its all-time high.
Japan releasing national oil reserves from Thursday (end-March); Finance Ministry inquiring on crude oil futures market intervention; Finance Minister 'ready to act on all fronts'
Just moments after Donald Trump backed down from his threat to bomb Iran's energy infrastructure, oil prices plunged, Treasury yields tumbled and traders signaled that US stocks would surge at the opening bell. Read more on how the president's move set off a wild, five-minute
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have taken some steps toward joining the Iran War, the Wall Street Journal reported — potentially signaling an escalation of the fighting.
Just moments after Donald Trump backed down from his threat to bomb Iran's energy infrastructure, oil prices plunged, Treasury yields tumbled and traders signaled that US stocks would surge at the opening bell. Read more on how the president's move set off a wild, five-minute...
Japan Finance Ministry oil futures intervention inquiry; joint stockpile release by end-March; PM full supply chain review; finance minister 'ready to act on all fronts'
Alibaba is launching a new chip for agentic AI and inference computing, adding to a portfolio of semiconductors designed to drive its artificial intelligence ambitions.
BREAKING: The US and Israel have struck new Iranian energy facilities including a natural gas pipeline belonging to an Iranian power plant in Khorramshahr. Brent oil prices are pushing above $100/barrel.
Contracts representing millions of barrels of oil changed hands about 15 minutes before a social media post from Trump that sent crude prices tumbling by as much as 14%
BREAKING: Job postings on Indeed fell -5% YoY in the week ending March 13th, to the lowest since October 2025. Postings have declined -36% since April 2022 and are now down to February 2021 levels. The number of available vacancies is now only +3% above pre-pandemic levels seen
BREAKING: The US and Israel have struck new Iranian energy facilities including a natural gas pipeline belonging to an Iranian power plant in Khorramshahr. Brent oil prices are pushing above $100/barrel.
Pakistan is making a push to mediate talks to end the US-Israeli war against Iran, with its powerful army chief holding calls with Trump to find a resolution to the fighting, people familiar with the matter said
BREAKING: The US and Israel have struck new Iranian energy facilities including a natural gas pipeline belonging to an Iranian power plant in Khorramshahr. Brent oil prices are pushing above $100/barrel.
The Philippines says grounding planes due to a shortage of jet fuel brought on by the war in Iran is a "distinct possibility," according to President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.
Anthropic: federal court challenge vs Pentagon "national security supply chain risk" label; described as "first major clash" between governments and AI firms
Anthropic goes to federal court in San Francisco to challenge the Pentagon's move to label it a 'national security supply chain risk.' Joel Dodge, a policy expert, said the case marks 'the first major clash' in a longer power struggle between governments and AI firms
we're at the Terra Luna stage of OpenAI [QT @Polymarket: JUST IN: OpenAI reportedly offering private-equity firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5% in push to raise fresh capital.]
Estee Lauder is in talks regarding a potential business combination with Spanish beauty group Puig, the companies said, in a deal that would put beauty and fragrance brands such as Tom Ford, Carolina Herrera, Rabanne and Clinique under one roof
BREAKING: The US and Israel have struck new Iranian energy facilities including a natural gas pipeline belonging to an Iranian power plant in Khorramshahr. Brent oil prices are pushing above $100/barrel.
Saudi Arabia & UAE: "inching toward" joining US/Israeli war vs Iran (WSJ); Saudi: agrees to US use of King Fahd air base; ADNOC CEO calls Iran's Strait of Hormuz attack "terrorism"
BREAKING: Saudi Arabia and the UAE are "inching toward" joining the US/Israeli war against Iran, per WSJ. Details include: 1. Gulf countries are "getting tougher" following persistent attacks 2. Saudi Arabia has agreed to let American forces use its King Fahd air base
Pakistan is making a push to mediate talks to end the US-Israeli war against Iran, with its powerful army chief holding calls with Trump to find a resolution to the fighting, people familiar with the matter said
Contracts representing millions of barrels of oil changed hands about 15 minutes before a social media post from Trump that sent crude prices tumbling by as much as 14%
The European Central Bank must be 'very agile and vigilant' to keep prices in check as the Iran war brings stagflation risks closer, Governing Council member Boris Vujcic said
Anthropic v. Pentagon; 'national security supply chain risk' label challenged in San Francisco federal court; 'first major clash' between governments and AI firms (Joel Dodge, policy expert)
Anthropic goes to federal court in San Francisco to challenge the Pentagon's move to label it a 'national security supply chain risk.' Joel Dodge, a policy expert, said the case marks 'the first major clash' in a longer power struggle between governments and AI firms
we're at the Terra Luna stage of OpenAI [QT @Polymarket: JUST IN: OpenAI reportedly offering private-equity firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5% in push to raise fresh capital.]
Saudi Arabia, UAE 'inching toward' joining US/Israeli war vs. Iran; Saudi Arabia agrees US forces use King Fahd air base; Gulf countries 'getting tougher' after persistent attacks (WSJ)
BREAKING: Saudi Arabia and the UAE are 'inching toward' joining the US/Israeli war against Iran, per WSJ. Details include: 1. Gulf countries are 'getting tougher' following persistent attacks 2. Saudi Arabia has agreed to let American forces use its King Fahd air base
Iran IRGC warns: Israeli troops in north and Gaza will be targeted 'without any limit' if Israel hits civilians in Palestinian territories and Lebanon (IRNA)
Iran's Revolutionary Guards warn Israeli military their troops in the north and the Gaza Strip will be targeted 'without any limit' if Israel targets civilians in Palestinian territories and Lebanon - IRNA
Absolutely incredible: The US 20Y Note Yield is now back to 5.00% less than 24 hours after President Trump said peace talks were underway. The threat of 7% mortgages and $4.00 gas prices has become reality. Bond markets say this war is unsustainable.
Private-sector activity in the euro area rose at the slowest pace since last May as the Iran war stokes inflation while endangering a nascent economic recovery.
⭕️ 3,000+ strikes across Iran since the start of Operation Roaring Lion Yesterday, the IDF targeted IRGC command centers, weapons storage facilities, and aerial defense systems. Overnight, an additional 50+ targets were struck, including ballistic missile storage and launch
BREAKING: Arab mediators have privately 'expressed skepticism' that the US and Iran could quickly reach an agreement, noting that the two sides remained far apart, per WSJ. In a sudden turn of events, Iran is 'distancing itself from talks' as Trump pushes for a peace deal.
It is so difficult to understand why Trump launched his Iran operation - an op so clearly damaging to US national interests, the global economy, Ukraine and the US' closest allies in Europe and the Gulf. Then there is this…. [QT @adamscochran: 5 minutes before Trump's announcement: $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!]
Absolutely incredible: The US 20Y Note Yield is now back to 5.00% less than 24 hours after President Trump said peace talks were underway. The threat of 7% mortgages and $4.00 gas prices has become reality. Bond markets say this war is unsustainable.
⭕️ 3,000+ strikes across Iran since the start of Operation Roaring Lion Yesterday, the IDF targeted IRGC command centers, weapons storage facilities, and aerial defense systems. Overnight, an additional 50+ targets were struck, including ballistic missile storage and launch
BREAKING: Arab mediators have privately "expressed skepticism" that the US and Iran could quickly reach an agreement, noting that the two sides remained far apart, per WSJ. In a sudden turn of events, Iran is "distancing itself from talks" as Trump pushes for a peace deal.
WATCH: Australia and the European Union signed a trade deal that was eight years in the making, removing tariffs for almost all European goods and for nearly all exports of Australian critical minerals
Absolutely incredible: The US 20Y Note Yield is now back to 5.00% less than 24 hours after President Trump said peace talks were underway. The threat of 7% mortgages and $4.00 gas prices has become reality. Bond markets say this war is unsustainable.
Spot gold -22%+ from ATH $5,594.82/oz (end of January); precious metals saw largest ETF outflow last week; S&P500/gold ratio still 70% below year-2000 peak
Eurozone PMI: slowest since May; Germany PMI: 3-month low; UK: biggest cost rise in 3+ years; India private sector: 3-year low; France PMI: fastest expansion since October
In March 2023, Claude had an estimated IQ of 64. Today, Claude Opus 4.6 scores 133 on the Mensa Norway test. GPT-5.2 Thinking hits 141. Gemini 3 Pro, 142. That's a jump from cognitively impaired to gifted in three years. No human population has ever improved that fast
Major notes from the weekend on Iran: 1) Combined Force strikes started hitting IRGC Ground Forces units in the Kurdish regions. 2) We have confirmed that IRGC members are at least two cycles behind on pay. 3) *Coincidentally,* I'm sure, the IRGC Ground Forces Commander went [missing]
AAVE at $110 with BGD Labs exiting april 1, ACI gone by july, parafi and blockchain capital dumping $55m combined in march, revenue down 52% from Q4 peak. V4 launches without the team that built V3. market pricing ETF hopium over operational collapse. complacency has an [expiry date]
A case underway in Brooklyn federal court may finally force the US government to provide some answers about its seizure of a mysterious $15 billion crypto hoard
$1.5B S&P500 (ES) futures bought + $192M oil (CL) futures sold in single clips; 5 min before Trump announcement; 4x-6x normal order size at market close
5 minutes before Trump's announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!
Gas prices in the US have moved up to $3.98/gallon, their highest level since August 2022. The 35% spike over the last month ($2.95/gallon to $3.98/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years.
ECB Kazaks: hikes needed if inflation spreads from energy; 2 hike bets plausible. Sleijpen: 'certainly a risk of stagflation'; 'volatility in energy prices is enormous'
Turkey's central bank is preparing an expanded toolkit to defend the lira from Iran war-related volatility that includes potentially tapping its vast gold reserves
Lawmakers have demanded the US commerce department suspend Nvidia's licences to export AI chips to China and south-east Asian countries after the discovery of a large smuggling scheme, per FT
SK Hynix plans to buy ~$8 billion of extreme ultraviolet equipment from $ASML, in order to ramp up its advanced semiconductor production capability - WSJ
Margaret Ryan, a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's enforcement director, resigned effective last week after clashing with agency leadership over the direction of investigations, specifically those involving Donald Trump and his family, per YF
Apollo Global $APO has agreed to acquire Nippon Sheet Glass marking its largest private-equity investment in Japan 🇯🇵 to date, totaling about $3.7 billion in enterprise value - WSJ
$580M oil short bets (~6,200 futures contracts) placed ~15 min before Trump's Iran peace deal post; aligned with sharp move lower; 4-6x larger than any other trade during market close
BREAKING: Traders placed roughly $580 million in oil bets just 15 minutes before President Trump posted about a potential Iran peace deal, per FT. The positions, around 6,200 futures contracts, were executed moments before the announcement and aligned with the sharp move lower
Saudi Al Arabiya: Mojtaba Khamenei agreed to negotiate with US; Tehran denies talks; Strait of Hormuz remains closed; Iran fires new missile wave at Israel
AAVE at $110 with BGD Labs exiting april 1, ACI gone by july, parafi and blockchain capital dumping $55m combined in march, revenue down 52% from Q4 peak. V4 launches without the team that built V3. market pricing ETF hopium over operational collapse. complacency has an
Gas prices in the US have moved up to $3.98/gallon, their highest level since August 2022. The 35% spike over the last month ($2.95/gallon to $3.98/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years.
ECB's Sleijpen: 'There's certainly a risk of stagflation'; energy price volatility 'enormous'; March flash PMIs show worsening manufacturing delivery times
Growth in US business activity slowed in March to an almost one-year low and prices paid for materials and other inputs picked up in the wake of the US-Israel war with Iran.
BREAKING: Elon Musk announces that Tesla and SpaceX will jointly build an advanced chip manufacturing plant in Austin, Texas. Details include: 1. Musk says the "Terafab" site will include two fabs, one for Tesla's AI and one for SpaceX's space-based data centers 2. Musk aims
Lawmakers have demanded the US commerce department suspend Nvidia's licences to export AI chips to China and south-east Asian countries after the discovery of a large smuggling scheme, per FT
SK Hynix plans to buy ~$8 billion of extreme ultraviolet equipment from $ASML, in order to ramp up its advanced semiconductor production capability - WSJ
Apollo Global $APO has agreed to acquire Nippon Sheet Glass marking its largest private-equity investment in Japan 🇯🇵 to date, totaling about $3.7 billion in enterprise value - WSJ
Securitize will become NYSE's first digital transfer agent, allowing it to create shares for stocks and exchange-traded funds as digital tokens on a blockchain
Moody's Ratings on Monday downgraded a private credit fund run by KKR and Future Standard to junk amid rising bad loans and a string of weak earnings. The move by Moody's is the latest sign of distress in the private credit world.
Iran halts natural gas exports to Turkey; South Pars gas field struck by Israel; Turkey is Iran's major gas customer; 40+ energy assets across 9 countries severely damaged
Iran appointed a hardline veteran of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as the country's top national-security leader, replacing Ali Larijani, who was killed in an Israeli airstrike last week.
BREAKING: Traders placed roughly $580 million in oil bets just 15 minutes before President Trump posted about a potential Iran peace deal, per FT. The positions, around 6,200 futures contracts, were executed moments before the announcement and aligned with the sharp move lower
BREAKING: Saudi Arabia's Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been "pushing" President Trump to continue the war against Iran, per NYT. Saudi's Mohammed bin Salman says: 1. The US-Israeli military campaign presents a "historic opportunity" to remake the Middle East 2. Iran poses a
$80M exploit; single private key minting 80M unbacked USR; 15 Morpho vaults hit; exploit passed Sherlock audit and used Fireblocks custody; Alchemix/Maple/Yearn zero losses
resolv $80m exploit passed sherlock audit and used fireblocks custody. the hack came from a single private key minting 80m unbacked USR. 15 morpho vaults hit because MEV capital, steakhouse, gauntlet all had the same exposure. alchemix, maple, yearn with zero losses just became
Gas prices in the US have moved up to $3.98/gallon, their highest level since August 2022. The 35% spike over the last month ($2.95/gallon to $3.98/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years.
Crude oil is off to its best start to the year in decades [QT @LeverageShares: Oil's strongest start on record. WTI crude +66.4% YTD, outperforming every year since 1983. Even 2022 (Russia-Ukraine shock) and 2020 (COVID) lag far behind. Late Feb–mid Mar surge exceeds any historical range. Geopolitical premium or supply shock? This is unprecedented.]
Negative supply shock. One theme that popped up in flash PMIs released for March was a worsening of manufacturing delivery times. As it takes longer to move product out the factory door, we typically see upward pressure on prices.
Traders fully price three 25bp ECB hikes this year; ECB Sleijpen: 'There's certainly a risk of stagflation'; BoE Pill: 'upside risks to price stability mounting as a result of events in the Gulf'
BREAKING: Elon Musk announces that Tesla and SpaceX will jointly build an advanced chip manufacturing plant in Austin, Texas. Details include: 1. Musk says the "Terafab" site will include two fabs, one for Tesla's AI and one for SpaceX's space-based data centers 2. Musk aims
Ares limits redemptions on $10.7B private credit fund; Apollo private credit fund limits withdrawals; Moody's downgrades KKR + Future Standard fund to junk; rising bad loans
Moody's Ratings on Monday downgraded a private credit fund run by KKR and Future Standard to junk amid rising bad loans and a string of weak earnings. The move by Moody's is the latest sign of distress in the private credit world.
Israeli strike on South Pars gas field; Iran halts gas exports to Turkey; QatarEnergy: 2 LNG facility trains damaged, condensate and LPG output reduced
IRGC: all vessels require 'full coordination with Iranian maritime sovereignty'; container ship Celine forced to turn back; up to $2M transit fee per vessel (unverified per WSJ)
Iran is reportedly charging some commercial vessels up to $2 million for passage through the Strait of Hormuz, though the claims remain unverified, per WSJ
Saudi MBS: 'historic opportunity to remake the Middle East'; Iran poses existential threat to Saudi; per NYT; Gulf states (Saudi Arabia, UAE) also weighing military options if Iran attacks their infrastructure
BREAKING: Saudi Arabia's Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been 'pushing' President Trump to continue the war against Iran, per NYT. Saudi's Mohammed bin Salman says: 1. The US-Israeli military campaign presents a 'historic opportunity' to remake the Middle East 2. Iran poses a
Iran appointed a hardline veteran of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as the country's top national-security leader, replacing Ali Larijani, who was killed in an Israeli airstrike last week.
WFP: Iran war may push 45 million into acute hunger by June; Saudi Arabia and UAE weighing military options if Iran attacks critical infrastructure per multiple officials
Tether signs engagement with a Big 4 Firm for its first Full Audit ❤️ [QT @tether: Tether Signs Big Four Firm to Complete First Full Audit, Setting a New Quality Standard for the Digital Asset Economy]
US spot BTC ETFs: $2.5B monthly inflows; IBIT YTD flows top 2% among all ETFs; BTC down ~40% over 6 months; Strategy SEC filing allows up to $42B more BTC purchases (~590,000 BTC)
Yeah bitcoin ETFs now $2.5b for month and one good day away from completely digging out of their YTD flow hole. $IBIT is already there and then some, in top 2% among all ETFs in YTD flows. Again, incredible fortitude in face of 40% 6mo price drop and widespread media pile on.
Announcing supply is the opposite of announcing demand you maniacs [QT @Strategy: Strategy announces new $21 Billion $STRC ATM Program and new $21 Billion $MSTR ATM Program.]
you really have to hand it to @carlosdomingo, unwavering focus on tokenized securities through multiple bears, never flinched, now poised to build a monster, what an incredible founder and category creator
resolv $80m exploit passed sherlock audit and used fireblocks custody. the hack came from a single private key minting 80m unbacked USR. 15 morpho vaults hit because MEV capital, steakhouse, gauntlet all had the same exposure. alchemix, maple, yearn with zero losses just became
US Composite PMI 51.4 vs 51.9 exp; Services 51.1 vs 52.0 exp; Manufacturing 52.4 vs 51.5 exp; first employment decline in 13+ months; input costs largest monthly rise in 10 months
March @SPGlobalPMI US Composite down to 51.4 vs. 51.9 prior; Manufacturing at 52.4 vs. 51.6 prior; Services at 51.1 vs. 51.7 prior … index saw first fall in employment in over a year as average input costs posted largest monthly increase for 10 months
WTI crude +66.4% YTD, outperforming every year since 1983 Even 2022 (Russia-Ukraine shock) and 2020 (COVID) lag far behind Late Feb–mid Mar surge exceeds any historical range Geopolitical premium or supply shock? This is unprecedented.
Welcome to March 24, 2026 The Singularity now has a multi-trillion-dollar endorsement. Jensen Huang has declared 'I think we've achieved AGI,' a statement that lands differently when uttered by the man who manufactures the
BREAKING: Elon Musk announces that Tesla and SpaceX will jointly build an advanced chip manufacturing plant in Austin, Texas. Details include: 1. Musk says the 'Terafab' site will include two fabs, one for Tesla's AI and one for SpaceX's space-based data centers 2. Musk aims
Moody's Ratings on Monday downgraded a private credit fund run by KKR and Future Standard to junk amid rising bad loans and a string of weak earnings. The move by Moody's is the latest sign of distress in the private credit world.
By this point we would normally be in the 'Middle East sovereign XYZ takes stake in investment bank ABC' of the credit cycle, but we know that pool is selling to buy weapons, make payroll, and pay Iranian tribute. So think of how bad the credit problems must be for Jefferies to
Iran imposing transit fees up to $2M per voyage in Strait of Hormuz (ad hoc basis); IRGCN forced container ship Celine to turn back; Iran halts natural gas exports to Turkey
BREAKING: Iran has begun imposing 'transit fees' on some commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, per Bloomberg. Payments of as much as $2 million per voyage are being sought on an adhoc basis.
'We received points from the U.S. through mediators and they are being reviewed' — senior Iranian FM official, CBS News exclusive; Pakistan PM offers to host talks
A senior Iranian Foreign Ministry official told CBS News exclusively that 'we received points from the U.S. through mediators and they are being reviewed.'
Saudi Crown Prince MBS 'pushing' Trump to continue US-Israel military campaign against Iran — NYT; calls it 'historic opportunity to remake the Middle East'
BREAKING: Saudi Arabia's Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been 'pushing' President Trump to continue the war against Iran, per NYT. Saudi's Mohammed bin Salman says: 1. The US-Israeli military campaign presents a 'historic opportunity' to remake the Middle East 2. Iran poses a
Iran appointed a hardline veteran of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as the country's top national-security leader, replacing Ali Larijani, who was killed in an Israeli airstrike last week.
Iran's biggest Gulf Arab neighbors are considering joining the US-Israeli war against Iran, and could be pushed to if Tehran attacks their critical infrastructure, according to several people with knowledge of the situation. The Gulf's most powerful states, Saudi Arabia and the
US spot BTC ETFs $2.5B MTD inflows; IBIT top 2% among all ETFs YTD; BTC down ~40% in 6 months; Strategy files to buy additional ~$42B BTC (~590,000 BTC)
Yeah bitcoin ETFs now $2.5b for month and one good day away from completely digging out of their YTD flow hole. $IBIT is already there and then some, in top 2% among all ETFs in YTD flows. Again, incredible fortitude in face of 40% 6mo price drop and widespread media pile on.
Clarity Act Senate draft bans yield payments for simply holding stablecoin balances; rewards permitted only for specific user activities; banking groups pushed for restriction
$CRCL Clarity Act Text Blocks Yield for Holding Stablecoins - The revised Senate draft bans yield payments for simply holding stablecoin balances. - Lawmakers allow rewards only for specific user activities, not for token holdings. - Banking groups pushed for limits to prevent
resolv $80m exploit passed sherlock audit and used fireblocks custody. the hack came from a single private key minting 80m unbacked USR. 15 morpho vaults hit because MEV capital, steakhouse, gauntlet all had the same exposure. alchemix, maple, yearn with zero losses just became
US Composite PMI 51.4 vs 51.9 prior; Services 51.1 vs 52 est; Manufacturing 52.4 vs 51.5 est; first employment fall in over a year; largest monthly input cost increase in 10 months
March @SPGlobalPMI US Composite down to 51.4 vs. 51.9 prior; Manufacturing at 52.4 vs. 51.6 prior; Services at 51.1 vs. 51.7 prior … index saw first fall in employment in over a year as average input costs posted largest monthly increase for 10 months
美联航CEO Scott Kirby表示若航油价格长期维持高位,机票价格可能须上调20%;美国Q4 2025单位劳动成本终值上修至+4.4%(初值+2.8%),生产率下修至+1.8%(初值+2.8%)。
United Airlines ticket prices may rise 20% if jet fuel prices remain elevated; Q4 2025 unit labor costs +4.4% vs initial +2.8%; productivity +1.8% vs initial +2.8%
菲律宾和越南分别有约95%和90%的原油进口来自中东,新加坡、韩国、台湾、马来西亚、泰国各约70%;Shell CEO Wael Sawan警告欧洲将很快经历亚洲已面临的燃料供应中断。
Philippines ~95%, Vietnam ~90%, Singapore/South Korea/Taiwan/Malaysia/Thailand ~70% crude oil imports from Middle East; Shell CEO warns Europe faces same fuel disruption as Asia
Asia is highly exposed to the Iran War energy shock: The Philippines and Vietnam source ~95% and ~90% of their crude oil imports from the Middle East. This is followed by Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, and Thailand, each importing ~70% from the region. India and…
Futures worth billions changed hands 15 minutes before Trump social media post sent crude prices tumbling and equities soaring; Clear Harbor CEO calls it 'highly suspicious'
Clear Harbor Asset Management CEO Aaron Kennon calls moves in the futures markets minutes before a social media post from US President Donald Trump sent crude prices tumbling and equities soaring, 'highly suspicious'
Welcome to March 24, 2026 The Singularity now has a multi-trillion-dollar endorsement. Jensen Huang has declared 'I think we've achieved AGI,' a statement that lands differently when uttered by the man who manufactures the…
LiteLLM pypi release 1.82.8 compromised; contains litellm_init.pth with base64-encoded instructions to exfiltrate all credentials to remote server + self-replicate; DO NOT UPDATE
Software source code supply-chain-attacks are going to be very common with AI. Stay SAFU! [QT @hnykda: LiteLLM HAS BEEN COMPROMISED, DO NOT UPDATE. We just discovered that LiteLLM pypi release 1.82.8. It has been compromised, it contains litellm_init.pth with base64 encoded instructions to send all the credentials it can find to remote server + self-replicate.]
Software stocks hammered 3/24; Claude Dispatch reignited disruption fears; WDAY says agents are a risk to business; Salesforce and other software stocks falling
LIQUIDATION NATION mid 3/24: *markets back to HAMMERING software... whether its Amodei talking about -50% workforce cuts (come on man) or Claude Dispatch ... or WDAY saying agents are a risk to biz... just ugly action and rolling back over
Ares and Apollo curb withdrawals; Moody's downgraded KKR and Future Standard private credit fund to junk amid rising bad loans and string of weak earnings
Moody's Ratings on Monday downgraded a private credit fund run by KKR and Future Standard to junk amid rising bad loans and a string of weak earnings. The move by Moody's is the latest sign of distress in the private credit world.
Iran transit fees up to $2M per voyage on Strait of Hormuz vessels; container ship Celine forced to turn back; IRGC Navy: 'full coordination with Iranian maritime sovereignty' required
BREAKING: Iran has begun imposing 'transit fees' on some commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, per Bloomberg. Payments of as much as $2 million per voyage are being sought on an adhoc basis.
Saudi Arabia and UAE considering joining US-Israeli war against Iran; trigger: attack on Gulf critical infrastructure; MBS pushed Trump to continue US-Israeli campaign; war day 25
Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are considering joining the US-Israeli war against Iran, and could be pushed to if Tehran attacks their critical infrastructure, sources say. Read our exclusive story.
Iran willing to listen to 'sustainable' proposals per CNN; Pakistan 'stands ready and honoured' to host talks; China FM Wang Yi urged Iran to engage in negotiations 'as soon as possible'
BREAKING: An Iranian source tells CNN that there has been 'outreach' between the US and Iran and that Iran is willing to listen to 'sustainable' proposals to end the war. 'Iran is not asking for a meeting or direct talks with the US but is willing to listen if a plan for a…
Bitcoin has likely reached a floor and could rise to $150,000 by the end of 2026, according to Bernstein, which argues the cryptocurrency is being reshaped by a steady shift toward institutional ownership and financing
"Today's 2 yr auction was terrible:" @pboockvar The bid-to-cover ratio was the weakest since May 2024 and dealers got stuck with the largest amount since October 2022. Traders are having a hard time pricing Fed policy as oil prices swing higher.
Futures for oil and stocks worth billions of dollars changed hands just 15 minutes before a social media post from President Trump sent crude prices tumbling and equities soaring
United CEO Scott Kirby expects oil prices to stay high for longer ($100 or more through 2027) and plane ticket prices to potentially rise 20% to compensate for higher fuel costs. He expects demand to eventually go down as a result.
SHOPIFY $SHOP JUST POSTED THIS: - STARTING THIS WEEK, MILLIONS OF MERCHANTS CAN SELL TO CHATGPT USERS VIA AGENTIC STOREFRONTS - SHOP PAY WILL ALSO BE COMING TO COPILOT SO BUYERS CAN COMPLETE PURCHASES INSTANTLY.
This is how far the Magnificent 7 is down from their 52 WEEK HIGHS [QT @bitget: MAG 7 drawdown from 52-week high: $MSFT −31.0% $META −24.2% $TSLA −23.7% $AMZN −18.7% $NVDA −17.2% $GOOGL −13.7% $AAPL −12.9%]
.@Revolut is one of the fastest growing financial institutions in the world @aleximm and @santiago__rdz on the outlier numbers in Revolut's 2025 Annual Report: - Revenue grew 46% to £4.5 billion - Profit before tax grew 57% to £1.7 billion, realizing a 38% margin - Retail
Iran Hormuz transit fee: up to $2M per voyage ad hoc; IRGC forced container ship Celine to turn back; Royal Navy to lead coalition to reopen strait; Kalshi: normal tanker traffic months away
BREAKING: Iran has begun imposing "transit fees" on some commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, per Bloomberg. Payments of as much as $2 million per voyage are being sought on an adhoc basis.
US-Iran outreach: US-initiated per CNN; Iran willing to listen to 'sustainable' proposals; high-level talks as soon as Thursday per Axios; Pakistan PM offers to host; Chinese FM urges Iran to negotiate
82nd Airborne: command element + infantry brigade, several thousand troops ordered to Middle East; boots on ground inside Iran: NOT decided (WSJ); USS Nimitz + USS Gridley also deploying to SOUTHCOM
US official: Command element of the 82nd airborne division has been directed by the Pentagon to deploy to the Middle East together with an infantry brigade consisting of several thousand troops - Axios Reporter on X
Saudi Arabia, UAE: considering joining US-Israeli military campaign vs Iran; trigger condition: attack on critical infrastructure; Saudi Yanbu oil exports: 4M bbl/day; Kuwait: repaired 4 power lines damaged by interception debris
Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are considering joining the US-Israeli war against Iran, and could be pushed to if Tehran attacks their critical infrastructure, sources say.
Israel: attacked explosives manufacturing plant in Isfahan; Iranian missile intercepted over Lebanese airspace by foreign naval vessel (first time); Israel plans to expand Lebanon-controlled territory
Bitcoin has likely reached a floor and could rise to $150,000 by the end of 2026, according to Bernstein, which argues the cryptocurrency is being reshaped by a steady shift toward institutional ownership and financing
WTI Crude >$93/barrel; global shipping oil flows down -270M barrels over 3 weeks to ~1,430M barrels; OECD Europe+Americas commercial crude flows up to ~960M barrels
The West is relatively "protected" from the current energy shock: Oil currently flowing through global shipping routes is down to ~1,430 million barrels, down -270 million over the last 3 weeks. Meanwhile, OECD Europe and Americas commercial crude flows are up to ~960 million
2Y auction $69B: high yield 3.936%, tail +1.8bps, bid-to-cover 2.44 (weakest since May 2024), primary dealer takedown 24.12% (highest since Oct 2022); 10Y yield hit 4.43%
"Today's 2 yr auction was terrible:" @pboockvar The bid-to-cover ratio was the weakest since May 2024 and dealers got stuck with the largest amount since October 2022. Traders are having a hard time pricing Fed policy as oil prices swing higher.
Investors are pouring money into energy stocks at a record pace: Global energy equity funds have attracted a record +$9.5 billion in inflows over the last 3 weeks. By comparison, the previous peak was +$7 billion at the beginning of 2021. The 2022 spike, when WTI Crude oil
Markets pricing BoE rate hikes x4 this year; UK mortgage market disrupted at pandemic-level severity; France HICP forecast to rise from 1.1% (Feb) to 2.2% (June)
The spike in oil prices caused by the war in Iran has led markets to price in rate hikes from the ECB and Bank of England, with the BoE potentially raising rates four times this year
This is how far the Magnificent 7 is down from their 52 WEEK HIGHS [QT @bitget: MAG 7 drawdown from 52-week high: $MSFT −31.0% $META −24.2% $TSLA −23.7% $AMZN −18.7% $NVDA −17.2% $GOOGL −13.7% $AAPL −12.9%]
.@Revolut is one of the fastest growing financial institutions in the world @aleximm and @santiago__rdz on the outlier numbers in Revolut's 2025 Annual Report: - Revenue grew 46% to £4.5 billion - Profit before tax grew 57% to £1.7 billion, realizing a 38% margin - Retail
US-Iran high-level peace talks potentially Thursday (per Axios); China FM Wang Yi urges Iran to engage; Pakistan offers to facilitate; US-Israel planning 2-3 more weeks of war regardless
Absolutely incredible: Minutes after the 10Y Note Yield rose to 4.43%, US officials said peace talks with Iran could come as soon as Thursday. However, yields continue to hold as skepticism over peace talks has grown, with the 10Y Note Yield now at 4.40%. Once again, we cannot
82nd Airborne Division command element + infantry brigade (several thousand troops) to Middle East; USS Nimitz + USS Gridley to SOUTHCOM; no decision yet on boots on ground in Iran
US official: Command element of the 82nd airborne division has been directed by the Pentagon to deploy to the Middle East together with an infantry brigade consisting of several thousand troops - Axios Reporter on X
Saudi Arabia, UAE and other Gulf states considering joining US-Israeli campaign (WSJ, Bloomberg); trigger: Iranian attacks on critical infrastructure; Iran imposes $2M fee per ship through Strait of Hormuz; Royal Navy to lead coalition to reopen Strait
Governments across the Persian Gulf are moving closer to supporting the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal. The report says countries including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have taken steps that could expand
Volkswagen in talks with Israel's Iron Dome manufacturer to convert factory from car production to missile defense; German government actively supporting
BREAKING: Volkswagen is in talks with Israel's Iron Dome maker over a deal that would switch production at one of their factories from cars to missile defense, per FT. The German government is actively supporting the proposal.
Bitcoin has likely reached a floor and could rise to $150,000 by the end of 2026, according to Bernstein, which argues the cryptocurrency is being reshaped by a steady shift toward institutional ownership and financing
Absolutely incredible: Minutes after the 10Y Note Yield rose to 4.43%, US officials said peace talks with Iran could come as soon as Thursday. However, yields continue to hold as skepticism over peace talks has grown, with the 10Y Note Yield now at 4.40%. Once again, we cannot
"Today's 2 yr auction was terrible:" @pboockvar The bid-to-cover ratio was the weakest since May 2024 and dealers got stuck with the largest amount since October 2022. Traders are having a hard time pricing Fed policy as oil prices swing higher.
82nd Airborne Division command element + infantry brigade, several thousand troops; Pentagon directed; written order issued; boots on ground in Iran: not decided
US official: Command element of the 82nd airborne division has been directed by the Pentagon to deploy to the Middle East together with an infantry brigade consisting of several thousand troops - Axios Reporter on X
US-Iran high-level talks possibly Thursday 3/26 (Axios); US+Israel planning 2-3 more weeks of war regardless of talks; Iran denies peace talks; CNN: US initiated 'outreach'
BREAKING: Volkswagen is in talks with Israel's Iron Dome maker over a deal that would switch production at one of their factories from cars to missile defense, per FT. The German government is actively supporting the proposal.
Absolutely incredible: Minutes after the 10Y Note Yield rose to 4.43%, US officials said peace talks with Iran could come as soon as Thursday. However, yields continue to hold as skepticism over peace talks has grown, with the 10Y Note Yield now at 4.40%. Once again, we cannot
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK HIGHS at some point today Clear Secure $YOU Exxon Mobil $XOM Verizon $VZ $DELL Akamai $AKAM Antero $AM $APA Ciena $CIEN Conocophilips $COP Cheniere $CQP Coterra $CTRA Corteva $CTVA Cenovus $CVE Chevron $CVX Darling $DAR Devon Energy $DVN Enbridge
ARM HOLDINGS $ARM CEO RENE HAAS JUST SAID: - NEW CHIP LINE TO GENERATE $15BN ANNUAL REVENUE IN 5 YEARS - FORECASTS EPS OF $9 & TOTAL REVENUE OF $25BN OVER SAME PERIOD
9,000+ Iranian military targets destroyed (CENTCOM official); IDF strikes Isfahan central explosives production facility; Iranian ballistic missile falls in Beirut
US 15-point peace plan; Iran agreed to many points (Axios); high-level talks possible Thursday; 2-3 more weeks of war planned regardless; 1-month ceasefire mechanism via Witkoff & Kushner (Israeli Channel 12)
Iran has circulated a letter to member countries of the International Maritime Organization saying 'non-hostile vessels' can transit the Strait of Hormuz 'in co-ordination with Iranian authorities'. In the letter circulated among IMO members on Tuesday and shared with the
Brent crude settled $104.49/bbl +$4.55 (+4.55%); WTI dropped to $86.50 intraday on ceasefire reports; United CEO expects oil $100+/bbl through 2027, ticket prices +20%
United CEO Scott Kirby expects oil prices to stay high for longer ($100 or more through 2027) and plane ticket prices to potentially rise 20% to compensate for higher fuel costs, per Bloomberg
ARM HOLDINGS $ARM CEO RENE HAAS JUST SAID: - NEW CHIP LINE TO GENERATE $15BN ANNUAL REVENUE IN 5 YEARS - FORECASTS EPS OF $9 & TOTAL REVENUE OF $25BN OVER SAME PERIOD
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK LOWS at some point today: Mercadolibre $MELI Adobe $ADBE Snapchat $SNAP Abbott $ABT Broadridge $BR Chewy $CHWY Costar $CSGP Cintas $CTAS Dropbox $DBX Diageo $DEO Domino's Pizza $DPZ Fair Isaac $FICO Gen Digital $GEN Kraft Heinz $KHC Mobileye $MBLY
This is now the third time large trades have occurred minutes before a Trump war announcement. Yesterday, unusually large oil futures contracts were traded in the morning. Normal volume at that time: ~700,000 barrels Yesterday's volume: ~6,000,000 barrels. That's almost 10x the...
1-month ceasefire mechanism under development by Witkoff & Kushner (Israeli Channel 12); 15-point US plan sent to Iran per Axios; war in its 4th week; Iran yet to formally respond
The 'one-month ceasefire' situation: Israeli media is now reporting that US envoys Witkoff and Kushner are preparing for a one-month ceasefire with Iran. This ceasefire will be utilized to 'hold talks' as the war nears the end of its 4th week. But, will Iran accept? It has...
82nd Airborne Division Commander ordered to deploy to Middle East (FOX); US preparing 'boots on the ground' option if talks fail (Axios); White House: situation 'fluid'
IRAN ON POTENTIAL US GROUND INVASION: 'For years, we have been awaiting the Americans' entry. We have just one message for the American soldiers: Come closer.'
Projectile struck vicinity of Bushehr nuclear power plant ~9PM local; IAEA: no plant damage, no casualties; IAEA: 'maximum restraint' to avoid nuclear safety risks
Iran said foreign ships are allowed to cross the Strait of Hormuz, as long as they aren't supporting acts of aggression against the country and follow regulations put in place by Tehran.
zcash [QT @theragetech: 🇪🇺 EU prepares to issue standardized guidance for the surveillance of 'self-hosted wallets'. The EU Anti-Money Laundering Authority (AMLA) is preparing to issue guidance for the technical requirements to surveil transactions between 'self-hosted wallets' and accounts held with...]
The average cost for a gallon of diesel in California rose to the highest level ever as the state deals with limited oil-refining capacity and as the war in Iran disrupts global energy shipments
In practice, the wealthy nations including Taiwan can scramble to bid high prices for unencumbered energy and materials to fill some/all of their gap, which will likely leave the worst shortages with the poorest countries.
ARM HOLDINGS $ARM CEO RENE HAAS JUST SAID: - NEW CHIP LINE TO GENERATE $15BN ANNUAL REVENUE IN 5 YEARS - FORECASTS EPS OF $9 & TOTAL REVENUE OF $25BN OVER SAME PERIOD
Disney $DIS is also exiting the deal it signed with OpenAI last year, in which it pledged to invest $1 billion in the company and agreed to license some of its characters for use in Sora - Hollywood Reporter
A New Mexico jury found Tuesday that social media conglomerate Meta violated state consumer protection law in failing to disclose the risks of its platforms to children, the AP reports
BREAKING: The US has developed a '15-point plan' to end the Iran War and claims that Iran has agreed to many of the key points, per Axios. Details include: 1. Proposal includes many of the same demands the US made during the last round of nuclear talks in Geneva 2. US envoy
BREAKING: Iran said foreign ships are allowed to cross the Strait of Hormuz, as long as they aren't supporting acts of aggression against the country and follow regulations put in place by Tehran.
boots on ground, military escalation options, 82nd Airborne Division, 'fluid' situation, Axios
美国采取外交-军事双轨策略形成压力;伊朗强硬回应称期待美国士兵进入。油期货在Trump战争公告前出现10倍异常成交量(600万桶 vs 正常70万桶),市场对内部信息泄露存在严重质疑。
IRAN ON POTENTIAL US GROUND INVASION: 'For years, we have been awaiting the Americans' entry. We have just one message for the American soldiers: Come closer.'
zcash [QT @theragetech: 🇪🇺 EU prepares to issue standardized guidance for the surveillance of 'self-hosted wallets'. The EU Anti-Money Laundering Authority (AMLA) is preparing to issue guidance for the technical requirements to surveil transactions between 'self-hosted wallets' and accounts held with...]
A private credit fund jointly run by Future Standard and KKR lost one of its investment-grade ratings, a rare occurrence in the $1.8 trillion private credit market that could result in higher borrowing costs for the investment vehicle
It's now easier to find, reuse, and build on the files you upload and create in ChatGPT. You can quickly reference files in a chat using recent files in the toolbar, ask ChatGPT about something you've uploaded, or browse your files in the new Library tab in the web sidebar.
ParaFi, a New York-based digital asset manager that includes KKR co-founder Henry Kravis among its backers, raised $125 million in March for a new venture fund
LaGuardia Airport; Air Canada Express plane ~76 people; 2 pilots killed; dozens injured; control tower audio shows truck was cleared then abort attempted
Audio recordings from the airport control tower indicate the truck was initially cleared to cross the runway before a controller tried to pull it back to avoid a collision.
A crypto exchange backed by Citadel is creating the first blockchain-based derivative of the Korean won versus the US dollar, one of Asia's busiest currency pairs
The Magnificent 7 stocks are decoupling from the rest of the market: The 100-day correlation between the Magnificent 7 Index and the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index is down to -0.27, the most negative reading since June 2023. This means Big Tech and the average stock in the market
Wall Street is facing the most volatile markets in months as it looks to offload billions of dollars of junk debt to fund buyouts. After some key changes, including a delay, one for Nexstar just got over the line.
ParaFi, a New York-based digital asset manager that includes KKR co-founder Henry Kravis among its backers, raised $125 million in March for a new venture fund
Goldman Sachs: dropped Indonesia rate-cut call for 2026; added rate hike forecasts for India and Philippines; driver: US-Israel Iran war energy price shock
Goldman Sachs dropped its call for monetary easing in Indonesia this year while adding interest-rate hikes for India and the Philippines as the US-Israeli war on Iran drives up energy prices and boosts inflation across Asia.
Institutional investors are betting on higher volatility: Net $VIX futures positioning among asset managers is up to +$18 million, the highest since November. This marks a sharp reversal from the net short positioning seen over the last 3 months, with the low reaching -$50
Apollo Global告知旗舰150亿美元私募信贷基金投资者,本季度将仅满足约45%的提款申请,同期KKR与Future Standard联合管理基金亦失去投资级评级,私募信贷市场流动性压力集中暴露。
Apollo Global $APO: limits Q withdrawals to ~45% of requests; fund AUM $15B; KKR/Future Standard joint fund: lost investment-grade rating; $1.8T private credit market
Tesla TeraFab: seeking Process Integration Engineers with 10+ years experience in Taiwan; 2nm fab plan targets TSMC talent pipeline; chip engineers already in short supply in Taiwan
Elon is actually doing Project Paperclip for chip fabs ahead of WW3. Saving Western chip fab capacity with such an ambitious effort. [QT: Tesla's TeraFab has launched a talent war in Taiwan via job postings seeking senior chip experts (Process Integration Engineers) with over 10-years of experience, media report, adding its 2nm fab plan aims directly at TSMC. Chip engineers are already in short supply in Taiwan]
The FCC ordered a ban on the import of new models of foreign-produced consumer wireless routers after an interagency panel determined they threaten national security
The Magnificent 7 stocks are decoupling from the rest of the market: The 100-day correlation between the Magnificent 7 Index and the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index is down to -0.27, the most negative reading since June 2023. This means Big Tech and the average stock in the market
A private credit fund jointly run by Future Standard and KKR lost one of its investment-grade ratings, a rare occurrence in the $1.8 trillion private credit market that could result in higher borrowing costs for the investment vehicle
ParaFi, a New York-based digital asset manager that includes KKR co-founder Henry Kravis among its backers, raised $125 million in March for a new venture fund
One day you just wake up and the chair of CFTC is hyping up the conference you're putting on. [QT @ChairmanSelig: Looking forward to joining @KristinSmith at @blockworksDAS tomorrow to discuss how the @CFTC is supporting @POTUS in ushering in a Golden Age for American financial markets.]
Goldman Sachs dropped its call for monetary easing in Indonesia this year while adding interest-rate hikes for India and the Philippines as the US-Israeli war on Iran drives up energy prices and boosts inflation across Asia.
Apollo Global $APO told investors in its flagship private credit fund that it will limit withdrawals this quarter to just under half of requests - CNBC
Institutional investors are betting on higher volatility: Net $VIX futures positioning among asset managers is up to +$18 million, the highest since November. This marks a sharp reversal from the net short positioning seen over the last 3 months, with the low reaching -$50
Australia and the European Union signed a trade deal that was eight years in the making, removing tariffs for almost all European goods and for nearly all exports of Australian critical minerals.
One of Australia's largest pension funds, Hostplus, is considering offering cryptocurrencies as an investment option to its members, an asset class that's so far been largely shunned by its industry rivals
Risk appetite among retail investors is plummeting: Retail trading activity as a percentage of total stock volume is down to 8.1%, the lowest since Q3 2024. This percentage has nearly HALVED since the November 2025 peak of 15.0%.
Alibaba is launching a new chip for agentic AI and inference computing, adding to a portfolio of semiconductors designed to drive its artificial intelligence ambitions.
We're early in a world where agents maintain the software they help you build. Ramp Labs team is proving it works at production scale and the results are only getting better as models improve.
Private credit funds' exposure to software has come back to bite them, presenting new risks and opportunities for banks. JPMorgan is looking at both sides of the private credit meltdown.
Vietnam, Russia signed an agreement on the construction of the Southeast Asian nation's first nuclear power plant as Hanoi moves to bolster energy security amid Middle East disruptions
BNB Chain Foundation bought 370k 人生K线 tokens ($50k) in january. foundations don't buy meme coins. they're making a bet that chinese cultural relevance keeps BSC alive when developer commits are down 85% and TVL is stagnant. the chain is pivoting from infrastructure to identity
Risk appetite among retail investors is plummeting: Retail trading activity as a percentage of total stock volume is down to 8.1%, the lowest since Q3 2024. This percentage has nearly HALVED since the November 2025 peak of 15.0%.
OnlyFans owner Leonid Radvinsky, an American of Ukrainian descent, has died of cancer at age 43 — Bloomberg. At the time of his death, he was the sole shareholder of the company. Recent estimates placed his net worth as high as $7.8BN, driven by massive dividend payouts.
Private credit funds' exposure to software has come back to bite them, presenting new risks and opportunities for banks. JPMorgan is looking at both sides of the private credit meltdown.
Australia and the European Union signed a trade deal that was eight years in the making, removing tariffs for almost all European goods and for nearly all exports of Australian critical minerals.
BNB Chain Foundation bought 370k 人生K线 tokens ($50k) in january. foundations don't buy meme coins. they're making a bet that chinese cultural relevance keeps BSC alive when developer commits are down 85% and TVL is stagnant. the chain is pivoting from infrastructure to identity
Raajmarg Infra Investment Trust's units rose as much as 8% in their trading debut after an initial public offering that raised $649 million, India's largest so far this year
backpack $BP launches with zero insider token allocation. sounds revolutionary until you realize founders hold equity directly, not through tokens. the conversion terms haven't dropped yet. if they announce a $5b valuation, your tokens buy 0.0001% equity while insiders keep 80%.
The European Central Bank must be "very agile and vigilant" to keep prices in check as the Iran war brings stagflation risks closer, Governing Council member Boris Vujcic said
Even if the fighting in Iran stops within days, there will still be a prolonged disruption to the natural-gas flows that Europe depends on, writes @LionelRALaurent
Raajmarg Infra Investment Trust's units rose as much as 8% in their trading debut after an initial public offering that raised $649 million, India's largest so far this year
EU-Australia trade deal: sealed; framed as hedge against US trade risks; US simultaneously warns EU to ratify US-EU deal or lose preferential LNG access
$16m in whale withdrawals from binance on march 23 and ENA is the largest position at $4.07m. USDe at $3b supply is the bet that DeFi needs yield-bearing collateral USDC won't provide. perp margin, lending, options protocols all need productive collateral not dead dollars. $180m
backpack $BP launches with zero insider token allocation. sounds revolutionary until you realize founders hold equity directly, not through tokens. the conversion terms haven't dropped yet. if they announce a $5b valuation, your tokens buy 0.0001% equity while insiders keep 80%.
🤯 [QT @Modular: Generate images in less than 1 second. 99% cheaper than NanoBanna. 🚀 😱 Our latest 26.2 release ships FLUX.2 image generation with a 4.1x speedup over torch.compile on NVIDIA Blackwell - translating to a 5.5x TCO advantage with AMD MI355X. Read more ⬇️]
$16m in whale withdrawals from binance on march 23 and ENA is the largest position at $4.07m. USDe at $3b supply is the bet that DeFi needs yield-bearing collateral USDC won't provide. perp margin, lending, options protocols all need productive collateral not dead dollars. $180m
🤯 [QT @Modular: Generate images in less than 1 second. 99% cheaper than NanoBanna. Our latest 26.2 release ships FLUX.2 image generation with a 4.1x speedup over torch.compile on NVIDIA Blackwell - translating to a 5.5x TCO advantage with AMD MI355X.]
South Korea PM cancels China trip: 'urgent need' to manage Iran crisis; Philippines: grounding planes 'distinct possibility' due to jet fuel shortage from Iran war
The Philippines says grounding planes due to a shortage of jet fuel brought on by the war in Iran is a 'distinct possibility,' President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. tells Bloomberg's @haslindatv
$16m in whale withdrawals from binance on march 23 and ENA is the largest position at $4.07m. USDe at $3b supply is the bet that DeFi needs yield-bearing collateral USDC won't provide. perp margin, lending, options protocols all need productive collateral not dead dollars. $180m
Private-sector activity in the euro area rose at the slowest pace since last May as the Iran war stokes inflation while endangering a nascent economic recovery
Many such cases [QT @creshka: Built an auction house MCP in one day using Codex + @garrytan's skills for brainstorming & spec. 8 years ago: 3-4 days of manual parsing, Excel cleaning, Power BI dashboards. Today: 1 day, working analytics dashboard.]
Turkey's central bank is preparing an expanded toolkit to defend the lira from Iran war-related volatility that includes potentially tapping its vast gold reserves
Circle Internet agreed its first African partnership with a unit of Nvidia-backed Cassava Technologies to offer customers the ability to conduct transactions in the US company's stablecoin
The FCC said yesterday that they will no longer certify WiFi routers 'produced in a foreign country.' It doesn't ban import of routers they certified earlier but over time as new models come out (say to support the WiFi 7 standard) this will become a problem.
In March 2023, Claude had an estimated IQ of 64. Today, Claude Opus 4.6 scores 133 on the Mensa Norway test. GPT-5.2 Thinking hits 141. Gemini 3 Pro, 142. That's a jump from cognitively impaired to gifted in three years. No human population has ever improved that fast
The NYSE said today it is teaming up with Securitize to develop its tokenized securities trading platform. Securitize will become NYSE's first digital transfer agent, which allows it to create shares for stocks and ETFs as digital tokens on a blockchain - WSJ
A case underway in Brooklyn federal court may finally force the US government to provide some answers about its seizure of a mysterious $15 billion crypto hoard
Circle Internet agreed its first African partnership with a unit of Nvidia-backed Cassava Technologies to offer customers the ability to conduct transactions in the US company's stablecoin
Turkey's central bank is preparing an expanded toolkit to defend the lira from Iran war-related volatility that includes potentially tapping its vast gold reserves
United Airlines 250+ new planes by April 2028; 47 Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners; 'biggest fleet rejuvenation in its history'; any airline's largest 2-year delivery
By this point we would normally be in the 'Middle East sovereign XYZ takes stake in investment bank ABC' of the credit cycle, but we know that pool is selling to buy weapons, make payroll, and pay Iranian tribute. So think of how bad the credit problems must be for Jefferies to
DeepSeek posted a cluster of job openings for specialists in agentic artificial intelligence and other positions, as enthusiasm for the technology that can carry out tasks without human intervention grips China.
The FCC said yesterday that they will no longer certify WiFi routers "produced in a foreign country." It doesn't ban import of routers they certified earlier but over time as new models come out (say to support the WiFi 7 standard) this will become a problem.
SK Hynix plans to buy ~$8 billion of extreme ultraviolet equipment from $ASML, in order to ramp up its advanced semiconductor production capability - WSJ
JUST IN: Vanguard just announced it is doing stock splits for a bunch of its largest ETFs - Vanguard Growth ETF $VUG will be split 6:1 - Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF $MGK will be split 5:1 - Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF $VOOG will be split 6:1 - Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF $VO will be
By this point we would normally be in the 'Middle East sovereign XYZ takes stake in investment bank ABC' of the credit cycle, but we know that pool is selling to buy weapons, make payroll, and pay Iranian tribute. So think of how bad the credit problems must be for Jefferies to [QT FT: Japan's second-largest lender, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, is working on plans for a possible takeover of Jefferies]
United Airlines: 250+ aircraft deliveries by April 2028, most by any airline in a 2-year period; 47 Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners; longest-range Airbus A321
United Airlines $UAL just said it expects to take delivery of more than 250 new airplanes by April 2028 the most by any airline in a two-year period. New airplanes joining United's fleet between now and April of 2028 include: - 47 Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners with the Elevated
BOE Chief Economist Pill: 'Upside risks to price stability mounting as a result of events in the Gulf'; 'fog of uncertainty cannot be excuse for inaction'
Databricks launches Lakewatch cybersecurity product powered by Anthropic models; CEO Ghodi: 'Databricks will definitely partake in SaaS disruption'; ahead of IPO
the bigger story may be what comes next. Ghodi said it out loud: 'With the sort of SaaS disruption that we're seeing, Databricks will definitely partake in that disruption' He has the data, the AI... and now he's building the apps. Its the AWS playbook for the AI age.
Jeff Bezos is in early talks to raise a $100 billion fund that would acquire manufacturing companies and use artificial intelligence to automate their operations.
JUST IN: Vanguard just announced it is doing stock splits for a bunch of its largest ETFs - Vanguard Growth ETF $VUG will be split 6:1 - Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF $MGK will be split 5:1 - Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF $VOOG will be split 6:1 - Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF $VO will be
Gold underperforming most major assets since start of Iran war; South Africa's first new underground gold mine in 15 years as record gold prices make deposits viable
Gold has a reputation as a hedge against geopolitical turmoil. And yet you'd be hard-pressed to find a major asset that has performed as poorly as the precious metal since the start of the Iran war. What's going on?
the bigger story may be what comes next. Ghodi said it out loud: 'With the sort of SaaS disruption that we're seeing, Databricks will definitely partake in that disruption' He has the data, the AI... and now he's building the apps. Its the AWS playbook for the AI age.
Microsoft renting Texas data center originally for Oracle and OpenAI; OpenAI COO: memory chip shortage + US energy supply are AI infrastructure bottlenecks; OpenAI nonprofit investing $1B in AI causes in 2026
Millennium exploring relocation of Dubai-based employees; two Dubai property developer bonds in distressed territory; war in Middle East entering fourth week
以色列国防军继续在黎巴嫩南部展开针对性地面行动,击毙8名武装分子并摧毁含反坦克火箭、AK步枪和机枪的地下坑道;同时击杀圣城旅成员Muhammad Ali Kourani,此人在伊朗情报官员指挥下在黎巴嫩境内策划恐怖袭击。
IDF eliminated 8 terrorists, dismantled underground shaft with anti-tank rockets, Kalashnikovs, machine guns; eliminated Quds Force member Muhammad Ali Kourani
ELIMINATED: Muhammad Ali Kourani, a Quds Force terrorist who was advancing terror attacks directed by Iranian intelligence officials from within Lebanon. As long as Iranian intelligence elements continue to operate and advance terror attacks from within Lebanese territory, the…
Russia boosting crude flows amid soaring prices; oil export earnings highest since just after Ukraine invasion in 2022; Zelensky: Iran war is 'emboldening' Russia
The Kremlin is cashing in on the war in the Middle East, boosting crude flows amid soaring prices to earn the most from its oil exports since just after it invaded Ukraine in 2022
Senate Clarity Act revised draft bans yield payments for simply holding stablecoin balances; rewards allowed only for specific user activities; banking groups pushed for limits
$CRCL Clarity Act Text Blocks Yield for Holding Stablecoins - The revised Senate draft bans yield payments for simply holding stablecoin balances. - Lawmakers allow rewards only for specific user activities, not for token holdings. - Banking groups pushed for limits to prevent…
Microsoft to rent Texas data center originally developed for Oracle and OpenAI; OpenAI COO: memory chip shortage and US energy supply are AI infra bottlenecks
Bank of Montreal plans to offer tokenized cash services and deposits via CME Group, allowing institutional clients to move money around more easily, per Bloomberg
CLARITY Act revised Senate draft: bans yield on simply holding stablecoin balances; rewards only for specific user activities; banking groups lobbied for this restriction
$CRCL Clarity Act Text Blocks Yield for Holding Stablecoins - The revised Senate draft bans yield payments for simply holding stablecoin balances. - Lawmakers allow rewards only for specific user activities, not for token holdings. - Banking groups pushed for limits to prevent
United CEO Scott Kirby expects oil prices to stay high for longer ($100 or more through 2027) and plane ticket prices to potentially rise 20% to compensate for higher fuel costs. He expects demand to eventually go down as a result.
SHOPIFY $SHOP JUST POSTED THIS: - STARTING THIS WEEK, MILLIONS OF MERCHANTS CAN SELL TO CHATGPT USERS VIA AGENTIC STOREFRONTS - SHOP PAY WILL ALSO BE COMING TO COPILOT SO BUYERS CAN COMPLETE PURCHASES INSTANTLY.
Great news! If this foundation does even a B/B+ job and can avoid being co-opted by the various governments across America and the world that by default will try to plunder its wealth, it will probably do more good than all government action on AI put together.
Some of the Optics names extensions from their 200-DMA: $AXTI ~439% $LITE ~183% $CIEN ~132% $AAOI ~200% For context, here's what a few recent blow-off tops looked like at their peak: $MSTR ~199% 11/20/24 $SMCI ~237% 2/15/24 $SLV ~144% 1/28/26 Are Optics entering a
Bank of Montreal plans to offer tokenized cash services and deposits via CME Group, allowing institutional clients to move money around more easily, per Bloomberg
BREAKING: Manufacturing and construction employment now represents just ~15% of all US jobs, the lowest contribution in at least 175 years. This percentage has declined -25 points since 1950. Over the same period, agriculture has fallen -18 points, to just 2%, the lowest in history.
Financial crises typically have two main features: runs, and contagion. Once confidence has been lost in the liquidity of a private credit fund, the vicious cycle of redemptions -> selling of illiquid loans -> markdowns -> redemptions -> selling begins.
Great news! If this foundation does even a B/B+ job and can avoid being co-opted by the various governments across America and the world that by default will try to plunder its wealth, it will probably do more good than all government action on AI put together.
Some of the Optics names extensions from their 200-DMA: $AXTI ~439% $LITE ~183% $CIEN ~132% $AAOI ~200% For context, here's what a few recent blow-off tops looked like at their peak: $MSTR ~199% 11/20/24 $SMCI ~237% 2/15/24 $SLV ~144% 1/28/26 Are Optics entering a
$tao definitely one of the better looking altcoin charts, clear 5 up on daily, extremely strong. would be interested in buying a 3 wave pullback in the future if/when it comes, whether that's from here or higher idk... will be watching
Jensen Huang said Nvidia $NVDA is going to get up to $3 Trillion in revenue [QT @LuxAlgo: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says he is certain $3 Trillion annual $NVDA revenue is possible as compute takes up 100 times more than the past share of GDP. "It's hard for people to imagine how large we can be because there's nobody I can take [market] share from."]
Oil futures volume ~6M barrels vs normal ~700K (10x); 3rd consecutive occurrence before Trump war announcement; Anduril exec Michael Obadal holds up to $500K in stock after Army nomination
This is now the third time large trades have occurred minutes before a Trump war announcement Yesterday, unusually large oil futures contracts were traded in the morning Normal volume at that time: ~700,000 barrels Yesterday's volume: ~6,000,000 barrels That's almost 10x the
the pudgy penguins card is finally here [QT @pudgypenguins: The Pengu Card, on @Visa, is now live. In collaboration with @KASTxyz the Pengu Card is now available globally, across 170+ countries and 150M+ different merchants. Get yours below.]
South Korea's consumer confidence fell in March to the lowest in 10 months as the war in Iran darkened the outlook for growth and prices, tempering optimism from the elevated levels seen earlier this year
Hedge funds are dumping cyclical stocks at an aggressive pace: The long/short ratio of hedge funds in US non-consumer cyclical stocks, which include Energy, Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Real Estate, is down to 1.68, the lowest since May 2025. Hedge funds have sold...
YC Demo Day for W26 is in full swing. The craziest stat: 3X more companies in this batch reached $1M annualized revenue than W25. Also crazy: the fastest revenue growth rate of YC history at 14% week on week growth *on average* across the whole set of nearly 200 startups
USDC发行方Circle Internet Group股价当日跌幅创历史纪录,原因为稳定币监管拟议变化或将降低大持有人对USDC的吸引力。
Circle Internet Group: record single-day percentage decline; catalyst = potential stablecoin regulation changes reducing USDC attractiveness to large holders
Circle Internet Group, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, fell the most on record on Tuesday, with investors reacting to potential changes to stablecoin regulation that could make the firm's cryptocurrency less attractive to large holders.
BLACKROCK HEAD OF DIGITAL ASSETS ROBBIE MITCHNICK SAYS AI, NOT ALTCOINS, WILL DRIVE CRYPTO'S NEXT BULL PHASE AS INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS CONCENTRATE ON $BTC AND $ETH
bittensor emitting $391m monthly in TAO while total subnet revenue runs ~$62m annualized. that's 75:1 dilution to revenue ratio. targon trading 3.3x ARR when comparable SaaS trades 10-15x. subnet tokens may be the asymmetric bet if you believe decentralized AI scales. TAO absorbs
the pudgy penguins card is finally here [QT @pudgypenguins: The Pengu Card, on @Visa, is now live. In collaboration with @KASTxyz the Pengu Card is now available globally, across 170+ countries and 150M+ different merchants. Get yours below.]
South Korea consumer confidence 10-month low, March 2026
这是首批量化伊朗战争宏观外溢冲击的亚洲硬数据之一,印证战争影响正从中东快速向亚洲传导。
South Korea's consumer confidence fell in March to the lowest in 10 months as the war in Iran darkened the outlook for growth and prices, tempering optimism from the elevated levels seen earlier this year
YC Demo Day for W26 is in full swing. The craziest stat: 3X more companies in this batch reached $1M annualized revenue than W25. Also crazy: the fastest revenue growth rate of YC history at 14% week on week growth *on average* across the whole set of nearly 200 startups
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK LOWS at some point today: Mercadolibre $MELI Adobe $ADBE Snapchat $SNAP Abbott $ABT Broadridge $BR Chewy $CHWY Costar $CSGP Cintas $CTAS Dropbox $DBX Diageo $DEO Domino's Pizza $DPZ Fair Isaac $FICO Gen Digital $GEN Kraft Heinz $KHC Mobileye $MBLY
Guys war's over - Iran's conditions are out. Lots of middle ground here [QT: Iran's ceasefire conditions: — Netanyahu's extradition to the ICC — Withdrawal to the October 7th borders — Cancellation of Trump's Gaza plan — Lifting all sanctions — Recognition of Iran's nuclear rights]
the pudgy penguins card is finally here [QT @pudgypenguins: The Pengu Card, on @Visa, is now live. In collaboration with @KASTxyz the Pengu Card is now available globally, across 170+ countries and 150M+ different merchants.]
BLACKROCK HEAD OF DIGITAL ASSETS ROBBIE MITCHNICK SAYS AI, NOT ALTCOINS, WILL DRIVE CRYPTO'S NEXT BULL PHASE AS INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS CONCENTRATE ON $BTC AND $ETH
bittensor emitting $391m monthly in TAO while total subnet revenue runs ~$62m annualized. that's 75:1 dilution to revenue ratio. targon trading 3.3x ARR when comparable SaaS trades 10-15x. subnet tokens may be the asymmetric bet if you believe decentralized AI scales. TAO absorbs
'Going public in US, yes it's a strong consideration,' says Ledger CEO when talking to 'Bloomberg Crypto' earlier today. Digital asset firm Ledger completed a $50 million secondary share sale